The altcoin market is facing a grim warning from a top on-chain analyst who believes that by 2026, up to 99% of altcoins could be wiped out. This stark projection has sent ripples across the crypto community, especially as the analyst has publicly revealed his plan to exit the market by August 2025.
The analysis, published by Coinpedia, draws from historic market cycles and sentiment indicators, echoing the brutal comedown seen after previous alt seasons. If accurate, the warning could mean the end of the road for most tokens, except a very select few.
“History Doesn’t Repeat, But It Rhymes”
According to the analyst, altcoin seasons are typically followed by violent market corrections. Drawing parallels to past cycles, the current bull market is showing classic signs of overheating.
He suggests closely watching market sentiment tools like:
MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value)
NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss)
SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio)
These metrics, he says, are flashing red, hinting at euphoric tops rather than sustainable growth.
“By the time the average investor feels safest in altcoins, that’s usually when you’re closest to a blow-off top,” the analyst said.
Exit Timeline: August 2025
Unlike many vague warnings in the crypto space, this analyst has set a clear deadline for action: August 2025. He believes this will mark the final leg of the current bull run, after which, a harsh winter may set in.
He’s not alone. Other market veterans are also signaling caution as Bitcoin hovers near cycle highs and meme coins dominate headlines, a pattern that has historically preceded major corrections.
Altcoin Market Snapshot
| Coin | Price (USD) | 7D Change | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solana (SOL) | $174.24 | -3.2% | $74.8 billion |
| Cardano (ADA) | $0.762 | -1.1% | $27.1 billion |
| Avalanche (AVAX) | $38.72 | -2.6% | $14.6 billion |
| Fantom (FTM) | $0.96 | +0.4% | $2.7 billion |
| Pepe (PEPE) | $0.0000102 | +2.8% | $4.3 billion |
Source: CoinMarketCap
Despite pockets of growth in meme coins and specific DeFi projects, broader momentum across mid- and small-cap altcoins is cooling.
Contrasting Views: Not All Altcoins Are Doomed
Interestingly, not every analyst shares this doomsday view.
Another recent Coinpedia report highlights a few promising projects, like Fantom (FTM), that could weather the storm thanks to solid tokenomics and real-world adoption. The key, they say, lies in selective investing, not blanket exits.
Meanwhile, whales have begun accumulating altcoins like XRP, Solana, and lesser-known Hyperliquid (HLP), hinting at bullish expectations for these names despite broader concerns.
Are Meme Coins at Peak Euphoria?
One of the clearest indicators of market tops historically is when meme coins outperform utility tokens. In 2021, the rise of DOGE and SHIB signaled irrational exuberance. Today, tokens like PEPE and FLOKI are showing similar behavior.
With double-digit gains and viral marketing, these coins dominate social media but offer little fundamental value, making them potential targets in a correction.
What Should Investors Do Now?
With just three months before the analyst’s projected exit window in August 2025, investors are being urged to:
Review their altcoin exposure
Diversify into more secure assets (e.g., BTC, ETH, stablecoins)
Track market indicators weekly
Be wary of FOMO-driven buys
“Don’t be the last to exit the party. When liquidity dries up, the music stops, fast,” said a crypto risk strategist at XChain Global.
Conclusion
Whether the projected 99% altcoin collapse by 2026 plays out exactly or not, the warnings serve as a valuable reminder. The crypto market is volatile, sentiment-driven, and historically brutal to overextended altcoin holders post-peak.
As we approach August 2025, caution may be the best strategy. The time to plan an exit is not after the fall, but now, while sentiment is still high and liquidity remains intact.
FAQs
What is the analyst predicting for altcoins?
That up to 99% of altcoins could lose nearly all their value by 2026.
When is the suggested exit point?
August 2025, before a projected bear market begins.
Are any altcoins considered safe?
Fantom, Solana, and XRP are mentioned as potential survivors, but even those carry risk.
What tools can help track the market top?
MVRV, NUPL, and SOPR are key on-chain indicators worth watching.
Glossary of Key Terms
Altcoin: Any cryptocurrency other than Bitcoin.
MVRV: Compares market value to realized value to identify overbought or oversold conditions.
SOPR: Tracks whether coins are sold at a profit or loss.
FOMO: Fear of Missing Out, common during altcoin mania phases.
Sources and References
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