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Deythere > News > Crypto > How CPI Report Could Trigger Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana Volatility
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How CPI Report Could Trigger Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana Volatility

How CPI Report Could Trigger Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and Solana Volatility
Shravani Dhumal
Last updated: October 24, 2025 8:42 am
By
Shravani Dhumal
Published October 24, 2025
9 Min Read
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The crypto price prediction suggests that major digital assets may face short term price changes as the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for September approaches. The data is expected to show a 3.1% annual increase in inflation, which is the highest level in 18 months.

Contents
  • What Is the CPI Report and Why Does It Matter for Crypto?
  • How Could Inflation Numbers Impact Crypto Prices?
  • How Much Could Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and Solana Move?
  • What Are Analysts and Traders Expecting?
  • Why Is This CPI Report So Important?
  • Could This Lead to a Market Rebound?
  • Conclusion 
  • Glossary 
  • Frequently Asked Questions About Crypto price predictionWhat is the crypto price prediction after the U.S. CPI report?
    • What was the September CPI number?
    • How does the CPI report affect crypto prices?
    • How volatile is crypto expected to be after the report?
    • Should traders prepare for big swings in crypto?

The figure could play a big role in shaping the next moves of $BTC, $ETH, XRP, and Solana. Traders are preparing for possible market swings as new economic signals take focus after weeks of limited information during the U.S. government shutdown.

What Is the CPI Report and Why Does It Matter for Crypto?

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the average shift in prices of goods and services over time. This demonstrates how inflation affects our cost of living as consumers.

The expected figure is a reflection of how fast prices are rising in the economy. The CPI is an incredibly important economic indicator for cryptocurrencies, such as $BTC, $ETH, XRP, and Solana. Knowing present CPI data gives traders a framework to develop short-term crypto price prediction models and forecast potential volatility.

How Could Inflation Numbers Impact Crypto Prices?

The upcoming CPI report is expected to show that the cost of living rose by 3.1% over the past year. This is slightly above August’s increase of 2.9%. Economists surveyed by FactSet say it would be the largest rise in 18 months.

Most experts believe these figures will not prevent the Federal Reserve from reducing its key interest rate by 0.25 percentage points next week. ING analysts say that if the CPI comes in higher than expected, it could make the dollar stronger and limit gains in assets like crypto.

A stronger dollar usually puts pressure on Bitcoin and other similar tokens. On the other hand, a lower CPI could encourage more risk taking. This may help support the prices of digital assets in the market.

How Much Could Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and Solana Move?

According to data, Bitcoin may change by approximately 1.4% higher or lower after releasing the CPI data, while Ether may be much more volatile, and, as such, may move roughly 2.9%. The crypto price prediction for $BTC sits near $111,347.20. 

At the same time $ETH is trading at around $3,977.09, and investment sentiment is indicating optimistic caution among investors. Volatility indices show similar expectations for major cryptocurrencies. XRP could change by about 4.7%, while Solana may move around 4% within 24 hours of the CPI release.

These changes are noticeable but still fall within the normal range for widely traded crypto assets. Experts say these movements are expected in either direction and do not necessarily indicate a bullish or bearish trend.

XRP is expected to trade between $2.30 and $2.60 after the CPI report, as it often exhibits significant volatility, whereas Solana is predicted to trade between $183 and $220 in October and November 2025.

MetricBitcoinEthereumXRPSolana
Expected Volatility±1.4%±2.9%±4.7%±4.0%
Market Capitalization$2.19 trillion$478 billion$137 billion$90 billion
Price Prediction$111,347$3,977$2.60$220
Key SentimentModerate cautionOptimistic cautionHigh volatilitySteady growth

What Are Analysts and Traders Expecting?

Crypto market strategists are weighing three possible outcomes for the CPI release. Higher inflation than 3.1% may result in a bearish sentiment if inflation rises, as higher prices could push back on deeper rate cuts.

An outcome of 3.1% would likely keep a neutral outlook and keep a cautious trading atmosphere for traders ahead of the next Federal Reserve decision.  Alternatively, if CPI was lower than expected, then a bullish wave could hit the market. 

Analysts expect that a lower CPI reading could allow Bitcoin to approach $120,000, while Ether might recover toward $4,100. This crypto price prediction shows how responsive digital asset prices are to changes in economic conditions. 

At the same time, $BTC’s technical indicators, including the stochastic oscillator, suggest that downward pressure may be easing. These signs could indicate an early stage of recovery for the market.

Why Is This CPI Report So Important?

The crypto market has had little new economic data during the long U.S. government shutdown. The CPI report gives traders a fresh point of reference to adjust their expectations. The lack of recent information has increased market anticipation. 

A lower-than-expected CPI could encourage optimism among retail investors. In this situation, the short-term crypto price prediction is closely linked to inflation data. A lower CPI reading could boost buying activity in digital assets.

On the other hand, a higher reading might lead to a pause in market gains. Traders are watching these results carefully to adjust their positions.

Could This Lead to a Market Rebound?

Even though expected volatility is low, traders are still looking to see if momentum is developing. In his latest analysis, Thielen mentioned that the technical rebound for Bitcoin may be on the table if downward momentum starts to subside.

That outcome fits into the overall crypto price prediction narrative, which is short-term turbulence before recovery.  As a store of value asset, $BTC typically bounces back quicker than its competitors during uncertain macro conditions. 

Ether’s history of reacting to economic data may result in larger swings in prices in the few days following the CPI. XRP and Solana, owing to their higher implied volatility, will probably have the sharpest moves in either direction.

Conclusion 

Crypto price prediction points out September’s inflation report may be a pivotal factor for the major cryptocurrencies, as many investors will react to movements above or below the 3.1% mark for CPI announced not long ago.

Importantly, economists expressed these changes are common volatility and not indicative of a trend, despite traders being aware. Investor CPI reactions could also be equally influential as the CPI release itself. These upcoming days can expect to see volatility for both bystanders of the economy and investors in digital assets.

Glossary 

CPI: Measures how much everyday prices change.

Inflation: When prices of goods and services go up over time.

Federal Reserve: The U.S. bank that sets interest rates and guides the economy.

Market Sentiment: How people feel about crypto prices at the moment.

XRP: A cryptocurrency for quick and low-cost payments.

Frequently Asked Questions About Crypto price prediction

What is the crypto price prediction after the U.S. CPI report?

Bitcoin, Ether, XRP, and Solana may change prices depending on the CPI results.

What was the September CPI number?

The September CPI increased by 3.1%, the highest in 16 months.

How does the CPI report affect crypto prices?

The CPI shows inflation, which can make crypto prices go up or down.

How volatile is crypto expected to be after the report?

Crypto price prediction may move moderately to sharply after the report.

Should traders prepare for big swings in crypto?

Yes, traders should expect short-term price changes.

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TAGGED:Bitcoin price forecastCrypto price predictionEthereum price predictionSolana price movementU.S. CPI report 2025XRP market volatility

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ByShravani Dhumal
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Hello! I'm Shravani. I’ve been working as a crypto journalist for more than 3.5 years, mainly covering Bitcoin and the wider cryptocurrency market. My work involves tracking market trends, price movements, breaking news, and global policy updates that affect digital assets.I focus on writing clear, well-researched, and engaging content that helps readers understand what’s happening in the crypto world. Along with news stories, I also create detailed price prediction articles, combining data analysis, expert opinions, and market insights to provide readers with valuable and reliable information.
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