Cardano (ADA) is putting investors to the test once again. The cryptocurrency has been unable to push past that key $0.77 resistance level and the repeated rejections are forcing ADA back down into consolidation below $0.70. The long-term outlook remains strong as a result of a steady ecosystem growth and upcoming network upgrades. However; short-term price action suggests ADA may be in an extended period of accumulation before it can make a significant move.
A recent analysis by TradeHero warns of potential downside risks:
“ADA is stuck below $0.70 again after another failed breakout attempt. If $0.66 doesn’t hold; things could start to unravel quickly. Eyes on $0.77 for a reversal trigger.”
Cardano Price Forecast: Resistance & Support Levels to Watch
With ADA trading around $0.65, both bulls and bears are waiting for that decisive move. Will Cardano finally break past resistance or is a deeper correction on the horizon?
Cardano’s price action reflects the tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. Since early March, ADA has been stuck within a tight range; unable to establish a clear trend in either direction.
The first major hurdle ADA faces is the $0.77 resistance level; it’s one ADA has failed to breach multiple times. A successful breakout above that could open the door to a rally toward $0.92-$0.94, shifting Cardano into a more bullish phase.
Beyond $0.94; the next major target is $1.18; a level ADA briefly reached in early March before facing heavy selling pressure.
On the downside, ADA has been holding above $0.65-$0.66, which has been key support in recent weeks. But if sellers gain momentum and push ADA below $0.60, a more significant drop toward $0.50-$0.52 could be in play.
The market is at a critical juncture and the next few sessions will determine whether ADA can break free or remain range-bound for an extended period.
On-Chain Activity Surges: Could This Be ADA’s Turning Point?
On-chain data suggests ADA’s sluggish price action may be hiding something. Rising transaction volumes and increased network activity often precede price increases as more users and developers engage with the ecosystem.
Active wallet count has increased by 5% over the past month, indicating growing user adoption. Daily transaction volume has remained steady despite price fluctuations. Cardano’s DeFi ecosystem has seen a 15% increase in TVL over the past 30 days, signaling rising investor confidence.
Over time, that kind of network activity has been a sign of strong price movements to come. So these indicators are worth watching closely.
Political Influence & Speculation: The Trump Factor in ADA’s Price Action
Cardano’s price has been influenced by some pretty significant political developments; particularly U.S. President Donald Trump’s crypto-related endorsements. This was on full display when he publicly acknowledged Cardano on March 3 leading to a brief rally. However, the subsequent exclusion of altcoins from the U.S. Digital Asset reserves dampened enthusiasm.
All eyes are on the upcoming ‘DC Blockchain Summit 2025, where Charles Hoskinson and Donald Trump Jr. will share the stage. Speculation about potential partnerships between Cardano and Trump-linked crypto ventures has fueled both optimism and skepticism.
Some analysts think these alliances could really boost ADA’s mainstream adoption. Others are more skeptical, arguing that these ventures might be “pay-to-play” arrangements rather than genuine DeFi integrations.
Technical Analysis: Short-Term Outlook for ADA
Cardano’s short-term momentum is looking a bit weak. Its 50-day moving average is trending downward, and so is its 200-day moving average. This has been reinforcing a bearish trend since March 26. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering below the 30-70 neutral zone, indicating oversold conditions. There are no recent bullish or bearish divergences, so no clear reversal signals have emerged yet.
To shift sentiment in favor of the bulls, it needs a breakout above key resistance. If that happens, we could see a change in sentiment.
Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction: 2025-2030
Analysts have outlined potential price targets for Cardano over the next five years. Those projections are subject to market conditions; regulatory developments and ecosystem growth. ADA’s long-term fundamentals are strong; but short-term price action will depend on whether accumulation leads to breakout momentum.
| Year | Projected Price |
| 2025 | $0.65 – $0.75 |
| 2026 | $0.98 – $1.10 |
| 2027 | $1.47 – $1.60 |
| 2028 | $2.21 – $2.50 |
| 2030 | $4.98 – $5.50 |
Conclusion: Accumulation or Breakout? The Path Forward for ADA
Cardano is at a critical juncture. Its price action is struggling against resistance but backed by strong on-chain activity. While ADA’s long-term potential remains intact, short-term traders may need patience as accumulation phases often precede breakouts.
In the coming weeks, watch for a few key factors: a breakout above $0.78 would signal renewed bullish momentum. Holding above $0.65 indicates buyers are defending key support levels. Network growth, rising DeFi adoption and transaction volumes, could trigger upward momentum. Additionally, regulatory and political developments, policy changes and potential partnerships, could impact sentiment.
For now, Cardano’s investors are waiting for a decisive move. The next breakout attempt will likely define ADA’s direction for the remainder of 2025.
FAQs
Why is Cardano stuck?
Cardano has technical resistance and keeps failing to break out. Until buying pressure increases, ADA will be range bound.
What can push ADA higher?
Increased on-chain activity, DeFi adoption, network upgrades and positive regulatory news can push ADA up.
Is Cardano in an accumulation phase?
Yes, on-chain data shows growing accumulation at lower prices which can precede a breakout if buying pressure increases.
What are the support and resistance levels for ADA?
For Support: $0.65 – $0.66 (short term)’, $0.50 – $0.52 (major support); Resistance: $0.77 (short term), $0.92 – $0.94 (major breakout).
What is Cardano’s long term price?
Analysts predict ADA to reach $5 by 2030 if adoption, ecosystem growth and market conditions are favorable.
Glossary
Accumulation Phase: A period where investors buy at low prices, often before a breakout.
DeFi (Decentralized Finance): Financial services on ‘blockchain without intermediaries.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): A ‘momentum indicator to measure overbought or oversold.
TVL (Total Value Locked): The total capital locked in a blockchain’s DeFi ecosystem.
References
Disclaimer
This article is meant to inform, not advise. Cryptocurrency ‘investments are subject to market risk—and past performance is never a guarantee of future success. That means you should do your own research and talk to a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
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