This article was first published on Deythere.
Presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping recently met in Busan, South Korea, to sign what many are calling a US-China trade deal of epic proportions.
According to a White House summary, the deal includes U.S. tariff cuts, China’s suspension of new export controls on rare earths and strong commitments by Beijing to resume large-scale purchases of U.S. agricultural goods.
This is the biggest de-escalation yet in the global trade war between the world’s two biggest economies and the implications spread across agriculture to supply-chains, tech manufacturing to digital assets.
What’s in the US-China Trade Deal
The US-China trade deal has several components, confirmed by both U.S. and Chinese sources.
According to Reuters, the main points are: U.S. tariff reductions on Chinese imports, a pause in new Chinese export controls, especially on rare earths and supply-chain inputs, resumption of big U.S. agricultural exports to China, and cooperation on fentanyl precursor chemicals.
One account says: China will suspend its export control measures that were set to take effect in November 2025, including those on rare earths, gallium, germanium, antimony and graphite. In return, the U.S. will reduce its so-called “fentanyl tariff” from 20% to 10% and extend the suspension of certain retaliatory tariffs for one year.
This matters because it changes trade policy not just superficially but across strategic sectors like agriculture, minerals and technology supply-chains. It seems to reset the tone of U.S.-China economic relations.
Why This Matters for Global Markets
The US-China trade deal matters because it addresses bottlenecks that have been weighing on investor confidence and supply-chain stability. By reducing tariff and export control uncertainty; businesses get more visibility into sourcing, pricing and profit margins.
The Washington Post reported that President Trump called the meeting “truly great” and that tariffs on Chinese imports would drop by 10%.
China’s agricultural import commitments means relief for U.S. farmers and export-oriented industries.
Technology supply-chains such as semiconductors; rare-earths; electric vehicles; are highly exposed to China. When China pauses new export controls; it reduces the risk of supply-chain disruption.
Thus, the US-China trade deal encompasses risk sentiment across equities, commodities and digital assets.
Trade Diplomacy and Structural Shifts Under the Deal
Beyond the numbers, the US-China trade deal is forward move in trade diplomacy between the two powers. The fact that Beijing agreed to pause export controls on certain materials and Washington committed to tariff relief; shows a willingness to dial back economic conflict.
As reported; China agreed to suspend sweeping export controls on rare-earths announced in October 2025.
Furthermore; the deal gives Chinese imports into the US a tariff reduction; which means stabilizing trade flows instead of ongoing escalation.
From a diplomatic lens, the US-China trade deal seems to be a truce rather than a full resolution but such a truce is itself significant in today’s polarized world.
For markets, this is big because policy risk is a major variable in investor decisions. With the US-China trade deal, one of the biggest policy risks may be temporarily removed, which can get investors back into global equities and other assets.
Conclusion
While the US-China trade deal is a big turn around, the next phase will test implementation, compliance and durability. Things to watch include whether China follows through on its soybean purchase commitment; whether export controls remain suspended or come back; and how U.S. tariffs evolve beyond the initial reduction.
Sources note the pause on China’s new rare-earth controls is conditional and not absolute. How supply-chains adjust and companies invest in US-China cross-border trade will matter.
Trade policy has delayed effects so the full impact of this US-China trade deal may play out over years not months.
Investor sentiment will reflect how real and lasting this is. If big structural reforms come with the deal; markets could reward the de-escalation; if not, any reversal or renegotiation could re-ignite volatility.
Glossary
Tariffs: The taxes that are imposed on the goods coming from other countries; used by different countries as a means to secure their local industries or to alter the movement of trade.
Non-tariff measures: the restrictions on trade that are not related to the tariffs; for instance, quotas; export controls; or licensing requirements.
Rare-earth minerals: the collection of 17 chemical elements which are crucial for manufacture of high-tech products; electric cars, and military hardware.
Export controls: The government limitations on the export of certain products; technologies, or materials that are imposed for national security or strategic reasons.
De-escalation: the gradual process of diminishing the scale or danger of a conflict.
Frequently Asked Questions About US-China Trade Deal
Is the US-China trade deal fully signed and binding?
No formal comprehensive treaty has been published; instead both sides released fact-sheets and statements outlining commitments reached during meetings. Implementation and detailed agreements are to be fully documented.
Will all tariffs between the US and China now be removed?
While the agreement reduces certain tariffs by 10 percentage points and extends suspension of retaliatory tariffs; it does not eliminate all tariffs. Some tariffs and trade tensions remain in strategic sectors.
What risk remains after the US-China trade deal?
Risks include whether China will follow through on export-control suspensions; whether the US maintains its tariff relief over time and whether structural issues like technology access and supply-chain dependencies resurface.
Is this limited to agriculture and minerals?
No. Agriculture and critical minerals are notable but the deal also covers export controls; technology supply-chains; port fees and the overall US-China trade framework.

                               
                             