Following the week’s market reports, Solana has achieved a 14.2% weekly gain, now testing resistance at $189 due to a mix of technicals, on-chain growth and macro factors. With Total Value Locked rising from $6b to over $9b as well as developer engagement climbingup, Solana price prediction models are getting more bullish.
The long-term cup and handle is forming and approaching breakout levels at $189; therefore, it is very important for SOL to hold support.
On-Chain Use Rising Supports SOL’s Upside
Owing to fresh activity build up around Solana based DeFi applications, Solana’s TVL has risen to over $9 billion from $6 billion. Its daily unique wallet interactions have exceeded 3.3m, according to sources; pointing to a fresh influx of real user engagement. This on-chain growth gives the recent price rise some context rather than just being speculative momentum.
Cup & Handle Pattern: Classic Breakout Setup
The weekly chart shows a textbook cup and handle pattern tracing back to SOL’s 2021 highs near $260 and the correction to $80-$120. Now, SOL is forming the “handle” between $145-$179, the classic consolidation phase before a breakout. Technical analysts agree that if SOL breaks the $189 resistance, the pattern projects a possible move to $295, measured from the depth of the cup.
Important Technical Levels & Macro Tailwinds
| Level | Importance |
| $145 | High-volume support node; base of the handle |
| $179–$189 | Handle resistance; breakout point for bullish confirmation |
| $235, $263, $295 | Targets following breakout; align with measured-move zones |
| $360, $402 | Potential extended gains if macro tailwinds persist |
Macro environment supports this Solana price prediction outlook.the anticipated Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in late 2025 as well as global liquidity ease might just favor high-beta assets like SOL. Meanwhile, the GENIUS Act proposed legislation is also expected to bring clarity to altcoin investments.
Bull and Bear Cases for Solana Price Prediction
Bull Case
If Solana experiences a successful daily close above $189 and together with TVL growth and positive macro liquidity, SOL could go to $295. Further extensions could push SOL to $360 or $402.
Base Case
It is also possible for SOL to drift sideways edging around $179–$189, consolidating gains. If TVL stays above $9B, with no breakout; buying some time before the next leg up that might come in weeks.
Bear Case
If SOL fails at $189 and drops below $145, invalidating handle setup. A retreat to $130–$150 could be possible if macro risks such as hawkish Fed signals or geopolitical stress surface.
Expert Analysis: Forecasts Point to Big Upside
Analysts from CryptoNews have highlighted that SOL has “massive cup and handle formation” and could go to $295 if $189 breaks materializes.
AInvest also confirms TVL and pattern data and says Solana is “in critical battle between discount and premium zones” and has high-volume structure.
3Beasts Research notes that with weekly closes above $200, SOL could go to $360 and even $402 if the rally extends.
Conclusion
Based on latest research, Solana price prediction models point to a possible breakout to $295, triggered by cup and handle formation, on-chain growth and macro conditions. However, much depends on clearing $189 and staying above $145. A breakout could be to $235, $263 and eventually $295.
If macro risks or technical setbacks happen, SOL could pull back to base. Investors and traders are advised to watch volume, TVL and Fed comments for the next move.
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Summary
SOL shot up 10.9% this week. TVL from $6B to over $9B and on-chain activity above 3.3M users. Long-term cup and handle formation has SOL testing $179–$189 resistance with a breakout to $295 possible. Macro conditions such as Fed rate cuts and passable regulations; support the bull case.
FAQs
What’s Solana’s TVL now?
Solana’s TVL went from $6 billion to over $9 billion, a big on-chain strength signal .
What does the cup and handle mean for SOL?
This is a bullish setup that could break out to $295 if SOL gets above $189 resistance.
What’s next after $295?
If momentum holds, analysts say next SOL targets are at $360 and even $402.
What are the macro risks for Solana price prediction?
The main risks are a sudden shift to tighter Fed policy, delayed rate cuts or negative industry regulation.
Why is $145 support important?
It’s the base of the handle and if it breaks below it, the cup and handle pattern is invalid.
Glossary
Cup and Handle: A bullish chart pattern that looks like a rounded “cup” and pullback “handle,” meaning potential upside.
TVL: Total Value Locked.
BoS: Break of Structure.
High-volume Node: A price area where a lot of trading happened, often support or resistance.
Macro Tailwinds: Good economic conditions (e.g. lower interest rates, more liquidity).
GENIUS Act: Proposed US legislation to define crypto-asset frameworks.
Sources
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