Pi Coin is losing steam fast. After the brief surge around the recent “Pi2Day”, daily trading volume has dropped below $100 million which is a big red flag for bulls. With no whales support and another wave of token unlocks coming up, Pi coin price prediction models are turning bearish.
Pi is now sitting precariously close to its all-time low of $0.40 after failing to hold the $0.475 support. Investors are starting to question if the roadmap will deliver in time to avoid further losses.
Whale Apathy and Declining Liquidity: A Bearish Mix
According to CoinMarketCap, Pi Coin had only $46 million in volume this past Sunday, which is way below the 8 day rolling average and well under the post-Pi2Day peak. This means not only lower retail activity but also reveals that whales are retreating from the $0.50 level.
Traders are also bracing for more selling pressure due to upcoming token unlocks. Based on reports, slated for July 10, Pi is set to release 14.6 million new tokens into circulation. This will taper to 10.6 million on July 11 and further to 4 million by August 4.
This temporary supply glut could be a short-term drag unless offset by stronger demand or a big bounce in sentiment.
Pi breaks below key support: will it hold $0.40?
On the charts, Pi has already broken a big support at $0.475. Failing to reclaim this level means there’s not much buying interest, especially with the RSI still below 50 on the 4-hour chart. Momentum is still bearish.
Here’s the current market situation:
| Metric | Current Value | Implication |
| Daily Trading Volume | $46 million on Sunday, $58 million at press time | Down sharply, suggests drying liquidity |
| Key Resistance | $0.475 | Breached; now acting as overhead pressure |
| Next Support | $0.40 (all-time low) | At risk of being retested |
| RSI (4-hour chart) | < 50 | Bearish momentum remains intact |
| Token Unlock on July 10 | 14.6 million tokens | Potential for increased short-term selling |
Community Response Falters as Zero-Reward Staking Disappoints
On top of that, officials reported that the Core Team’s rollout of zero-reward staking during the recently held Pi2Day was a major letdown. Users can rate Pi ecosystem apps, but get no tokens or time for it.
Unlike traditional staking, this model discourages participation. Some community members think the update offers no utility or engagement value, making Pi’s short-term outlook even worse.
Pi Coin Price Prediction: What’s Next
Bearish: Failure to get back above $0.475 and token unlocks could send Pi to $0.40, aligning with the bearish RSI and volume indicators.
Sideways to Slight Rebound: If unlocks pass and volume gets above $100 million, Pi could stabilize between $0.475–$0.50.
Bullish (Low Chance): A surprise surge in demand or revised staking incentive could get Pi back above $0.50, but the current momentum makes it highly unlikely short term.
Conclusion: What’s Next for Pi Coin?
Looking forward, it all depends on if Pi can hold above $0.40. If it does, a slow grind back to $0.475 range could start once token unlocks taper by early August. But if $0.40 fails, analysts warn of new lows, especially with no whale accumulation and low community enthusiasm.
Despite the bearish outlook, some long term holders are cautiously optimistic. But for now, Pi coin price prediction models are struggling.
Summary
Pi Coin price prediction is bearish as Pi is below $0.475 and daily volume is just $46 million. Whale interest has dried up and 14.6 million tokens will unlock on July 10. RSI is under 50 and momentum is negative, Pi is at risk of retesting $0.40. Zero-reward staking has also cooled down the community. Traders are watching $0.40 for signs of stabilization or breakdown.
FAQs
Why is Pi Coin price dropping?
Volume has collapsed post Pi2Day and whales are exiting. Token unlocks are also putting pressure on the price.
What is the new staking feature?
The Core Team introduced a staking system with no rewards, something never seen before in the crypto space.
Is $0.40 a hard support?
Historically yes. It’s the token’s all-time low and may act as psychological support unless the volume is weak.
When do token unlocks slow down?
The unlock schedule starts to taper after July 11 and slows down significantly by August 4.
What can change the outlook?
Increased demand, whale accumulation, or revised incentives could get Pi to stabilize or even bounce back above $0.475.
Glossary
Pi Coin: A cryptocurrency created by the Pi Network, originally a mobile mining project. Still in the mainnet closed phase, users can’t trade tokens outside the ecosystem.
Token Unlock: The release of previously locked tokens into circulation. High unlock volumes means more selling pressure on the token.
Support Level: A price level where a cryptocurrency finds buying interest and can’t go lower.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): A momentum indicator used in technical analysis to determine if a cryptocurrency is overbought or oversold. Below 50 is bearish.
Whales: Large holders of a cryptocurrency who can move the market with their trades.
Staking: Locking up cryptocurrency to support a blockchain network. Stakers get rewarded for their participation.
Sources
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