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Deythere > News > Crypto > Bitcoin > Bitcoin’s Bull Run Faces a Test but Experts See Strength Beyond Short-Term Drops
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Bitcoin’s Bull Run Faces a Test but Experts See Strength Beyond Short-Term Drops

Bitcoin’s Bull Run Faces a Test but Experts See Strength Beyond Short-Term Drops
Isha Jane
Last updated: February 19, 2025 2:13 pm
By
Isha Jane
Published February 19, 2025
8 Min Read
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Bitcoin price bull market may be stronger than it looks. Even with a significant price drop, the leading cryptocurrency is expected to remain in an uptrend throughout 2025, according to industry analysts. The CryptoQuant CEO, Ki Young Ju, recently shared that Bitcoin could fall to $77,000—a 30% drop from its all-time high—and still stay bullish.

Contents
  • Bitcoin Price Declines and Historical Patterns
  • Key Support Levels and Investor Sentiment
  • The Post-Halving Perspective
  • Broader Implications for Bitcoin Price Future
  • Conclusion on Bitcoin Price
    • FAQs
      • What would a $77,000 Bitcoin price mean for the bull market?
      • Why do analysts believe Bitcoin’s bull market can survive a 30% drop?
      • What are the key support levels to watch?
      • How does the halving cycle impact Bitcoin’s price?
      • Is Bitcoin expected to reach a new all-time high in 2025?
  • Glossary of Key Terms
    • References

Bitcoin Price Declines and Historical Patterns

Historically, Bitcoin price fluctuations have followed patterns that don’t necessarily signal the end of a bull cycle.

Ki Young Ju recently stated, “I don’t think we’ll enter a bear market this year. Even with a 30% dip from ATH (all-time high), the bull cycle could continue as seen in past cycles.”

This insight aligns with data showing that Bitcoin’s price has undergone similar corrections during previous bull runs without collapsing into a bear market.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin price

In the past, Bitcoin price has maintained an upward trajectory even after substantial pullbacks. Analysts believe that these short-term declines help establish solid support levels, ultimately allowing for more sustainable growth. The projected $77,000 level would still represent a higher floor than previous cycle highs, giving traders and long-term investors confidence in Bitcoin’s overall bullish outlook.

Key Support Levels and Investor Sentiment

Recent data from CryptoQuant and other on-chain analytics firms highlight several critical support zones that bolster the case for Bitcoin’s resilience. One such level is the $89,000 aggregate cost basis for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors, which has held firm since November. If the market were to test these support levels, it could solidify confidence and set the stage for further price appreciation.

Bitcoin price
Bitcoin price

Moreover, Bitcoin mining companies and global exchange traders have identified lower breakeven points—around $59,000 and $57,000 respectively—where market participants would begin to feel financial strain.

 “Falling below these levels in past downturns confirmed a bear market,” Ki noted, suggesting that these benchmarks are crucial in determining the market’s direction.

The current investor sentiment reflects cautious optimism. Trading volumes have remained steady despite recent price dips, indicating that the market still sees potential for growth. If these key support levels hold, Bitcoin price could continue its bull run and attract new investors seeking opportunities in a stable digital asset.

The Post-Halving Perspective

Another factor supporting Bitcoin’s bullish outlook is the halving cycle. Each halving event—when Bitcoin’s block rewards are cut in half—has historically led to long-term price appreciation. Since the last halving in April, Bitcoin price has risen approximately 60%, but some analysts believe there’s still room for further gains.

According to contributing analyst Timo Oinonen, “Despite the continuing halving cycle, I’d expect to see a sell in May effect, a sideways summer, and elevated price levels by the last quarter.”

This pattern of post-halving consolidation followed by bullish seasonality has played out in multiple cycles before. It provides a framework for understanding how Bitcoin’s price action could unfold over the next several months.

The halving also impacts miner behavior. With fewer new Bitcoins entering the market, supply pressure decreases, which can support higher prices. This supply dynamic, combined with steady demand, creates an environment where Bitcoin’s bull market can sustain itself even if temporary corrections occur.

Broader Implications for Bitcoin Price Future

The resilience of Bitcoin’s bull market is not just a technical or historical observation—it also has broader implications for the cryptocurrency’s adoption and acceptance. If Bitcoin can withstand a dip to $77,000 and continue to attract institutional investors, it strengthens the case for its role as a long-term store of value.

Moreover, the growing presence of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and increased regulatory clarity contribute to a more robust market environment. With clearer rules and more transparent trading mechanisms, Bitcoin price is becoming a more appealing asset for traditional financial institutions. As a result, the current bull cycle may have more room to grow than in previous years, driven by a mix of retail enthusiasm and institutional participation.

Conclusion on Bitcoin Price

In 2025, Bitcoin’s bull market seems poised to continue despite potential short-term price drops. Historical patterns, key support levels, and the post-halving effect all point toward a sustained uptrend. While challenges may arise, the underlying factors supporting Bitcoin’s growth remain intact.

CryptoQuant’s analysis, combined with broader market data, suggests that a drop to $77,000 would not mark the end of this cycle. Instead, it would reinforce Bitcoin’s resilience and pave the way for further gains. As we move through the year, the cryptocurrency market will continue to watch these critical levels and the ongoing impact of Bitcoin’s unique economic structure. Keep following Deythere and keep an eye on Bitcoin price.

FAQs

  1. What would a $77,000 Bitcoin price mean for the bull market?

    A $77,000 price point would still be considered a higher low compared to previous cycle highs, meaning the long-term uptrend could remain intact.

  2. Why do analysts believe Bitcoin’s bull market can survive a 30% drop?

    Analysts point to historical data showing that similar corrections have occurred in past bull cycles without triggering a prolonged bear market.

  3. What are the key support levels to watch?

    Support levels include $89,000 for U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors and $57,000–$59,000 for miners and global traders.

  4. How does the halving cycle impact Bitcoin’s price?

    The halving reduces the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation, creating a supply shortage that historically leads to long-term price increases.

  5. Is Bitcoin expected to reach a new all-time high in 2025?

    While predictions vary, many analysts believe Bitcoin will continue its uptrend, supported by strong fundamentals and growing institutional interest.

Glossary of Key Terms

  • All-Time High (ATH): The highest price ever reached by an asset.
  • Halving: A process where Bitcoin’s mining rewards are cut in half, reducing the rate at which new coins are created.
  • Support Levels: Price points where an asset typically finds buyers, preventing further declines.
  • Spot ETF: An exchange-traded fund that directly holds the underlying asset, in this case, Bitcoin.
  • Bull Cycle: A period of prolonged price increases in a market.

References

CryptoQuant Analysis: Market insights and data from CryptoQuant.

On-Chain Metrics: Aggregated cost basis data and investor sentiment analysis.

Historical Price Patterns: Observations from previous Bitcoin cycles and halving events

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