Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, believes China’s massive stimulus spending could weaken the yuan, potentially driving Chinese investors toward Bitcoin. Despite regulatory bans, Hayes suggests that Bitcoin trading remains active in China, with Binance and OKX allowing peer-to-peer trades.
Impact of China’s Stimulus Spending
China is planning a $2.13 trillion stimulus package, a move that may push affluent Chinese investors to seek alternatives like Bitcoin amid potential economic devaluation. Hayes notes that such stimulus measures could devalue the yuan, positioning Bitcoin as a secure alternative. “The signs are clear: Beijing is ready to print massive amounts of yuan, and people need an alternative,” Hayes stated.
Hayes highlights that, despite restrictions on BTC/CNY trading, China’s government cannot fully ban Bitcoin. He argues that the restrictions aim to obscure the yuan’s declining value and suggests that China prefers people to “forget” about Bitcoin rather than eliminate it.
Details of China’s Stimulus Plans
According to Reuters, China is nearing approval for a 10 trillion yuan bond issuance, to be financed through special state bonds and completed within three years. Hayes draws parallels to 2015, when a similar yuan devaluation coincided with Bitcoin’s value increasing fivefold, suggesting that a similar effect could occur again. However, he notes that Chinese investors may take time to react, as they wait to assess the impact of the stimulus on the yuan.
In conclusion, China’s stimulus efforts could present an opportunity for Bitcoin, which remains accessible to Chinese investors as a legally permitted store of value amid economic uncertainty.
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Bitcoin, Arthur Hayes, yuan, China stimulus, devaluation
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