Will Bitcoin Crash? $4.9 Trillion BTC Options Expiry Looms

According to sources, the latest Bitcoin options expiry has worried both stock and crypto traders, as $4.9 trillion in contracts are about to end. Meanwhile, $BTC climbed to $117,600, its highest point in weeks.

Experts warn that the size of this expiry, which is 1.2 times bigger than the whole crypto market, could cause major moves. Many believe such large settlements often bring sudden and sharp price swings.

Why is the $4.9 Trillion Expiry Seen as a Risk?

The Bitcoin options expiry is happening alongside the biggest stock and ETF settlements of the year. Analysts like Crypto Ted say that such large expiries usually affect crypto too, since the two markets are closely connected.

He pointed out that in March, a similar event led to a correction in $BTC after a short rally. Again in June, Bitcoin faced sharp drops within weeks of the expiry.

Traders are worried the same thing could happen again. Ted said the market usually reacts badly when there is too much leverage. 

He explained that both small traders and big investors have made heavy bets before this expiry. This pressure could cause sudden price swings once the contracts end.

Also read: U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve Bill Moves Forward as Congress Meets Industry Leaders

What Does Deribit Data Reveal?

On the crypto side, Deribit shows that $3.5 billion in Bitcoin options expiry is set along with $806 million in Ethereum contracts. The put-to-call ratio for Bitcoin is 1.23, which means there are more bearish positions than bullish ones.

The maximum pain point is $114,000, a level where many traders might face losses. Ethereum is in a similar position, with its ratio showing almost an equal balance between bears and bulls.

Experts explain that these “max pain” levels often act like magnets, pulling prices toward them. This usually results in quick and sharp market moves in the short term.

Could Bitcoin Crash Below $117,600?

The main concern is whether this Bitcoin options expiry will push $BTC below its recent $117,600 high. Experts believe that too much leverage often leads to a fast correction.

Ted explained that the kind of build-up happening now usually ends with sudden volatility. Some traders think a short drop could wipe out weaker positions and prepare the ground for another rally.

Back in March, Bitcoin climbed first before falling sharply. By June, the swings were smaller but quicker, with $BTC slipping below the six-figure mark for a brief time.

How Does This Compare With Past Expiries?

Past Bitcoin options expiry events have shown different results. Sometimes they caused big corrections that dragged prices down.

Other times, the volatility was brief, and $BTC bounced back quickly after the contracts were settled. Experts say the outcome depends on wider market forces.

With the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, extra liquidity might ease the impact. Institutional money could also help limit volatility, but traders are still staying careful.

Also read: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: Can $BTC End the Year Above $170K?

What Should Traders Expect Now?

The size of this Bitcoin options expiry has markets preparing for possible turbulence in the coming days. A short-term dip seems likely as traders wind down their positions.  Seasoned investors see such pullbacks as chances that often pave the way for bigger rallies.

If $BTC can stay above $114,000 despite the expiry pressure, it could create room for further upside. But if that level breaks, a sharp correction could hit before the market stabilizes and rebounds.

Conclusion 

Based on recent research, the Bitcoin options expiry worth $4.9 trillion could be one of the quarter’s most important market events. While $BTC recently hit $117,600, analysts disagree on whether the expiry will trigger a crash or only a short burst of volatility.

Right now, the main focus is how traders handle leverage and risky positions. History shows these situations usually bring volatility, so sharp moves are more likely than calm.

Summary 

The September 2025 Bitcoin options expiry is worrying traders as $4.9 trillion in contracts are ending. $BTC recently reached $117,600, but experts say the large expiry could cause big price swings.

Data shows $3.5 billion in Bitcoin and $806 million in Ethereum options expiring, with $114,000 being a key level where traders could face losses. Too much leverage might cause a short-term drop, but experienced investors see these dips as chances for another rally.

Watch BTC closely as the $100K danger zone approaches and stay updated only on our platform

Glossary 

Options Expiry – Closure of contracts triggering market adjustments.

Put-to-Call Ratio – Indicator of market sentiment from options.

Max Pain – Price where option holders face maximum losses.

Psychological Level – Key price influencing trader behavior, e.g., $100K BTC.

Macro Liquidity – Market-wide cash availability influencing trends.

Rebound – Swift recovery in price after a dip.

Frequently Asked Questions about Bitcoin options expiry 

1. Why is Bitcoin options expiry important?

It can cause big price swings in Bitcoin.

2. Which Bitcoin levels matter?

$110K support and $100K psychological mark.

3. Could Bitcoin crash?

A short-term drop is possible, but likely temporary.

4. What does Deribit data show?

More bearish positions than bullish on BTC options.

5. What is the max pain point?

Around $114K, where traders may face losses.

6. How does leverage affect Bitcoin?

High leverage can make price drops faster.